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足球免费推荐:5G commercialisation could be medium-term earnings dilutive, says RHB

足球免费推荐:5G commercialisation could be medium-term earnings dilutive, says RHB

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KUALA LUMPUR: With the access agreements signed and sealed, the commercialisation of 5G services by the country's telcos are underway, although there is a risk the new offering could dilute earnings over the medium-term.

RHB research said in a sector update that 5G wholesale charges could weaken the telcos' earnings as 5G adoption is likely to be gradual while the companies incur fixed-recurring wholesale changes.

In addition, the telcos could face challenges to monetisation as existing 4G plans in the market are already very competitive with generous data included, while there is a dearth of consumer/retail 5G use cases.

"Based on the revised wholesale rates levied by DNB (MYR288m pa for a minimum volumecommitment or MYR30,000 x 800GBps/month), we estimate Digi, Maxis, and Axiata’s FY23-24F core earnings to fall by 8-15% with their TPs lowered to RM3.65, RM3.60, and RM3.66," said RHB.

However, it noted that overall impact on Telekom Malaysia Bhd (TM) could be net positive as the revenues from DNB for 5G fibre backhaul should more than offset higher wholesale fees incurred.

In separate announcements, TM, Celcom, DiGi.Com, YTL Communications and U-Mobile said they had executed 5G wholesale access agreement with DNB, which will pave the way for commercial 5G services.

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The outlier is Maxis Bhd, which is still assessing the governance requirements for the access agreement.

"As expected, the telcos are offering 5G services to subscribers on compatible 5G handsets at no additional cost (zero premium) to 4G.

"This compares with the Singapore telcos, which unveiled 5G services at a SG$10-15 premium to 4G plans in 3Q20 and bundled with higher data quotas," said RHB.

Celcom’s 5G offerings from Nov 1 will be across most of its existing postpaid/prepaid packages with the introductory offer valid till end 2022.

TM’s 5G service (branded as uni5G) is available via opt-in via its self-care app.

U-Mobile, which had in mid-August revamped its postpaid packages to include 5G data, will launch its service on Nov 3.


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